Ooo shiny things
In Technology we always used to think in 3-5 year cycles. Mostly because it involved hardware. It was very handy for total costing and giving a timeframe to determine what was next. To think in terms of a lifecycle.
The age of Cloud and SaaS has turned that on its head a bit. Now it’s just a monthly/annual bill and I sometimes wonder if the ‘lifecycle’ consideration has come down to just that point of time at renewal.
Do we look at 3-5 years ahead anymore?
Sometimes it’s all about product, data and use. I was reading about the furore over Adobe updating terms of use for its products which seemingly allows it to use the content you create. For machine learning and to improve its own products…big shock
I think we’ll see more of this from organisations. I read this paper ‘Will we run out of data?’ and their estimate was to start getting concerned from 2026.
LLMs need new data. Synthetic data I think as inbreeding - nothing good will come from that. Most of the Internet has been scraped so companies will look for more private data. One to consider over the next 3-5 years if you’re on SaaS or Cloud.
Then I read this article by Benedict Evan’s which gave an interesting breakdown of the problem of how do you bring this product (AI, GenAI, LLMs whatever) to the mass market?
No real answers but there are hard questions to solve. The elephant in the room is the product being pushed into solutions it’s not brilliantly designed for. But billions are on the line.
Product, data and use - problems associated with all of them over the next 3-5yrs. Some tough decisions to make, and a lot on the line.
But is it even the most important thing right now if you remove the hype? Does it require this level of attention and funding? Because of a cyber-attack an appeal had to be launched for blood donations
and junior doctors are being asked to help out with hand delivering blood tests
But keep looking at the shiny thing by all means.